Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 81.032722 90.741466 100.634017 111.436794 122.871004 134.584621 147.462858
2025-09-14 66.960225 81.097887 96.106145 113.098322 131.682248 151.280244 173.402972
2025-09-21 56.904498 73.335676 91.337912 112.265634 135.683884 160.866098 189.783874
2025-09-28 48.191548 65.981301 86.065192 109.981600 137.288376 167.144438 201.921676
2025-10-05 44.746366 64.223030 86.719758 113.988040 145.573070 180.510043 221.604733
2025-10-12 41.071011 61.781489 86.243344 116.395359 151.788968 191.353795 238.300072
2025-10-19 36.389053 57.683028 83.455687 115.794040 154.281726 197.769511 249.824389
2025-10-26 32.308208 53.992951 80.878882 115.193707 156.564197 203.772301 260.730173
2025-11-02 29.285799 51.423582 79.484700 115.846834 160.181584 211.201795 273.173968
2025-11-09 25.948093 48.157127 76.999109 114.981684 161.838933 216.232583 282.754697
2025-11-16 23.379688 45.740361 75.442652 115.134411 164.612929 222.487636 293.686099
2025-11-23 20.585190 42.766600 72.981328 114.001564 165.704204 226.663110 302.115505
2025-11-30 18.908873 41.334208 72.524412 115.412006 169.942844 234.636708 315.091611
2025-12-07 17.494248 40.184671 72.377782 117.173163 174.588290 243.088930 328.641563
2025-12-14 15.373973 37.738101 70.305635 116.312782 175.876384 247.437945 337.282050
2025-12-21 13.033952 34.693680 67.224459 113.983738 175.208226 249.336392 342.938619
2025-12-28 12.708737 35.014908 68.949736 118.071626 182.680365 261.145805 360.448445
2026-01-04 11.969087 34.546940 69.485775 120.527503 188.053670 270.384988 374.880785
2026-01-11 10.507883 32.645069 67.816467 119.914099 189.436752 274.694139 383.361091
2026-01-18 9.185116 30.845164 66.202012 119.301684 190.765468 278.896221 391.682308
2026-01-25 8.265968 29.715439 65.543365 119.967955 193.723116 285.092258 402.403782
2026-02-01 7.110912 27.961660 63.827215 119.085387 194.605320 288.674372 409.925679
2026-02-08 6.265564 26.739060 62.879946 119.241192 196.819085 293.894408 419.427341